Noroeste 0-1 Velo Clube — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paulista A2, 8 Feb 2024

📅08/02/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
56%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
30%
4-5
31%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Noroeste win — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
56%
Home Win
58%
-2.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Noroeste The Market 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Velo Clube The Market 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
418 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Noroeste
0-1
AWAY Velo Clube
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Noroeste vs Velo Clube
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velo Clube squeezed past Noroeste 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Noroeste at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Noroeste had 51% of the ball to Velo Clube's 49%, shots finished 12-13.

What was the final score of Noroeste vs Velo Clube?

Noroeste 0-1 Velo Clube in the Brazil - Paulista A2 on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Noroeste vs Velo Clube?

Before kick-off our model rated a Noroeste win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Noroeste 56%, draw 23%, Velo Clube 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Noroeste) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Noroeste) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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