08/02/2024
·
18:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
ASFB vs Majestic Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
Over Pick
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
40%
4-5
28%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
16%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 62% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
48%
Home Win
42%
18%
Draw
24%
34%
Away Win
34%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ASFB v Majestic — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
ASFB
The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Majestic
The Market 38%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
15
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
5
400 · 85%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
361 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
ASFB vs Majestic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
ASFB edged past Majestic 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ASFB as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of ASFB vs Majestic?
ASFB 1-0 Majestic in the Burkina Moroccoo - 1st Division on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ASFB vs Majestic?
Before kick-off our model rated a ASFB win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split ASFB 48%, draw 18%, Majestic 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ASFB) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (ASFB)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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