08/02/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Heredia vs Fraijanes Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
44%
4-5
16%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
13%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
37%
Home Win
32%
35%
Draw
29%
28%
Away Win
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Heredia v Fraijanes — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Heredia
The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY
Fraijanes
The Market 43%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-58% /
-58%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+15%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
3
343 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
330 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Heredia vs Fraijanes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Heredia nicked a narrow win over Fraijanes 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 35% / 28% — and on the day Heredia made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
What was the final score of Heredia vs Fraijanes?
Heredia 1-0 Fraijanes in the Guatemela - Premier League Apertura on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Heredia vs Fraijanes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Heredia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Heredia 37%, draw 35%, Fraijanes 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heredia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Heredia)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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GUAP
More Guatemela - Premier League Apertura
8 Feb 2024