Kecskemeti TE 2-1 Diosgyor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 8 Feb 2024

📅08/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.93
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.08
6+ Goals
12%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 34%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.93/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.39
+19% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.8
16.6 Crosses 22.8
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kecskemeti TE
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Diosgyor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.85 xG 2.68
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
414 Passes 393
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
36 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
01.10.2023 Diosgyor Diosgyor 3-1 HT 2-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
14.02.2022 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 2-3 HT 0-2 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC2
18.08.2021 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-1 HT 1-1 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC2
07.03.2015 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 2-1 HT 1-1 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
17.08.2014 Diosgyor Diosgyor 2-1 HT 1-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
08.03.2014 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 1-1 HT 0-1 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kecskemeti TE
2-1
AWAY Diosgyor
2.11 xG 2.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
285 Passes 366
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 24
6 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kecskemeti TE vs Diosgyor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kecskemeti TE squeezed past Diosgyor 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kecskemeti TE as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Kecskemeti TE had 43% of the ball to Diosgyor's 57%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 2.11 to 2.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diosgyor led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kecskemeti TE and 1.83 for Diosgyor.

What was the final score of Kecskemeti TE vs Diosgyor?

Kecskemeti TE 2-1 Diosgyor in the Hungary - NB I on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kecskemeti TE vs Diosgyor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kecskemeti TE win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kecskemeti TE 42%, draw 27%, Diosgyor 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kecskemeti TE), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kecskemeti TE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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