Cimarrones de Sonora 1-2 CD Tapatio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 8 Feb 2024

📅08/02/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
1.82
Over 2.5
62%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.75
No
39%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
44%
-8.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
37%
Away Win
29%
+7.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
51%
-12.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
49%
+12.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
53%
+7.8pp
39%
BTTS No
47%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cimarrones de Sonora EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
1.43/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.37
-2% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cimarrones de Sonora
1W-4D-1L
AWAY CD Tapatio
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
06.10.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-2 HT 1-1 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora MEK2
17.03.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-0 HT 1-0 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora MEK2
15.09.2022 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora 1-1 HT 1-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
27.02.2022 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-0 HT 0-0 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora MEK2
28.07.2021 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
18.03.2021 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora 1-1 HT 0-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
POST-MATCH Cimarrones de Sonora vs CD Tapatio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Tapatio nicked a narrow win over Cimarrones de Sonora 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 37% — and on the day CD Tapatio made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cimarrones de Sonora and 0.67 for CD Tapatio.

What was the final score of Cimarrones de Sonora vs CD Tapatio?

Cimarrones de Sonora 1-2 CD Tapatio in the Mexico - Primera A on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cimarrones de Sonora vs CD Tapatio?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Tapatio win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cimarrones de Sonora 35%, draw 27%, CD Tapatio 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Tapatio), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Tapatio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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