Pachuca 3-2 Leon — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Mexico - Primera, 8 Feb 2024

Pachuca WLLWW→
3 - 2 HT 1 - 2
Leon LWDL→
📅08/02/2024 · 🕒06:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Also in play: 3-2 · 4-1 — 6% together
Mexico - Primera – 2023/2024

Pachuca vs Leon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.2
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
2.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.03
Over
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
YesVIEW
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
20%
4.08
2-3
45%
1.83
4-5
27%
3.02
6+
8%
9.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Pachuca v Leon — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Pachuca The Market 45%
Signal
AWAY Leon The Market 37%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.87 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.53
1.27 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.37
Strong Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Average
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
21 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2

Pachuca vs Leon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pachuca
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Leon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 1.04
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
280 Passes 341
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.07.2023 Leon Leon 4-0 HT 3-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
05.02.2023 Leon Leon 0-1 HT 0-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
22.08.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 1-0 HT 0-0 Leon Leon MEK
23.01.2022 Leon Leon 2-1 HT 1-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
25.07.2021 Pachuca Pachuca 4-0 HT 0-0 Leon Leon MEK
19.01.2021 Leon Leon 0-0 HT 0-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK

Pachuca 3-2 Leon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pachuca
3 - 2
AWAY Leon
0.94 xG 1.06
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
358 Passes 260
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Pachuca vs Leon
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Pachuca found just enough to beat Leon 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Pachuca as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came home.

Under the surface, Pachuca had 55% of the ball to Leon's 45%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.94 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pachuca and 1.00 for Leon.

Pachuca vs Leon Result & Final Score

Pachuca 3 - 2 Leon in the Mexico - Primera on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Pachuca vs Leon Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 42%, draw 26%, Leon 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pachuca), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pachuca) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →