Pachuca vs Leon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pachuca v Leon — Team-Based Signals
Pachuca vs Leon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 3-0
Pachuca
MEK
0-1
HT 0-1
Pachuca
MEK
1-0
HT 0-0
Leon
MEK
2-1
HT 1-1
Pachuca
MEK
4-0
HT 0-0
Leon
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Pachuca
MEK
Pachuca 3-2 Leon — Actual Match Statistics
Pachuca edged past Leon 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pachuca as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Pachuca had 55% of the ball to Leon's 45%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.94 to 1.06.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pachuca and 1.00 for Leon.
What was the final score of Pachuca vs Leon?
Pachuca 3-2 Leon in the Mexico - Primera on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Leon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 43%, draw 23%, Leon 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pachuca), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.