08/02/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Mukura vs Police FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
41%
4-5
25%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
34%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
53%
Home Win
67%
22%
Draw
20%
25%
Away Win
13%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mukura v Police FC — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Mukura
The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY
Police FC
The Market 15%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
56%
Ball Possession
44%
13
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
5
362 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
227 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Mukura vs Police FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Mukura beat Police FC 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Mukura as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
What was the final score of Mukura vs Police FC?
Mukura 2-0 Police FC in the Ruanda - National Futbol League on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mukura vs Police FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mukura win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Mukura 53%, draw 22%, Police FC 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mukura), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Mukura)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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