Darlington 1883 3-1 Marine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.72
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
15%
3.83
6+ Goals
8%
17.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 34% vs market 29.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.8pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Marine EU Bookmakers 31%
-7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.49/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.55
+0% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darlington 1883
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Marine
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
07.09.2024 Marine Marine 0-0 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darlington 1883
3-1
AWAY Marine
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Darlington 1883 vs Marine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darlington 1883 got the better of Marine 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Darlington 1883 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Darlington 1883 had 62% of the ball to Marine's 38%, shots finished 22-5.

What was the final score of Darlington 1883 vs Marine?

Darlington 1883 3-1 Marine in the England - Conference on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darlington 1883 vs Marine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darlington 1883 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Darlington 1883 39%, draw 28%, Marine 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Darlington 1883) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Darlington 1883) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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