Al Karkh 3-1 Diala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.13
No
64%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.9pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.3pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
43%
-6.3pp
64%
BTTS No
57%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Karkh EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Diala EU Bookmakers 27%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-8% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Karkh vs Diala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Karkh saw off Diala 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Karkh as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Karkh vs Diala?

Al Karkh 3-1 Diala in the Iraq - Premier League on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Karkh vs Diala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Karkh win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Karkh 46%, draw 31%, Diala 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Karkh) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Karkh) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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