08/02/2025
·
14:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Al Karkh vs Diala Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
31%
Draw
28%
23%
Away Win
24%
65%
Under 2.5
62%
35%
Over 2.5
38%
36%
BTTS Yes
43%
64%
BTTS No
57%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Karkh v Diala — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Karkh
EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY
Diala
EU Bookmakers 27%
-18% /
-18%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-40% /
-40%
1.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/1.00
-8%
/
-37%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
-19%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
2
4
Corners
4
324 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
346 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Karkh vs Diala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Karkh saw off Diala 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Karkh as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Al Karkh vs Diala?
Al Karkh 3-1 Diala in the Iraq - Premier League on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Karkh vs Diala?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Karkh win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Karkh 46%, draw 31%, Diala 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Karkh) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al Karkh)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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IRAK
More Iraq - Premier League
8 Feb 2025