Nairobi United 0-1 Wydad Casablanca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 8 Feb 2026

📅08/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
59%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
3.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
3.51
6+ Goals
8%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 35% vs market 25.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
20%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
14%
+0.7pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.9pp
59%
Away Win
64%
-5.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.8pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nairobi United EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Wydad Casablanca EU Bookmakers 69%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+99% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
234 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nairobi United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Wydad Casablanca
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.26 xG 1.88
28% Ball Possession 72%
5 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 8
143 Passes 476
68% Pass Accuracy 86%
4 Box Touches 40
8 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.11.2025 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca 3-0 HT 2-0 Nairobi United Nairobi United CAFKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nairobi United
0-1
AWAY Wydad Casablanca
0.39 xG 2.15
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 26
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
214 Passes 357
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nairobi United vs Wydad Casablanca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wydad Casablanca edged past Nairobi United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wydad Casablanca as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nairobi United had 41% of the ball to Wydad Casablanca's 59%, shots finished 4-26, expected goals 0.39 to 2.15 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Wydad Casablanca's control.

What was the final score of Nairobi United vs Wydad Casablanca?

Nairobi United 0-1 Wydad Casablanca in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nairobi United vs Wydad Casablanca?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wydad Casablanca win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Nairobi United 15%, draw 26%, Wydad Casablanca 59%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wydad Casablanca), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wydad Casablanca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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