Nasarawa United 1-1 Bayelsa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 8 Feb 2026

📅08/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
36%
3.45
Away
14%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.09
No
48%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.8pp
36%
Draw
26%
+9.7pp
15%
Away Win
20%
-4.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.6pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nasarawa United EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 22%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
1.36/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.34
-1% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nasarawa United
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Bayelsa United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2025 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 1-2 HT 1-1 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United NIJ
19.02.2025 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 2-2 HT 1-2 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United NIJ
06.10.2024 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United 0-0 HT 0-0 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nasarawa United
1-1
AWAY Bayelsa United
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nasarawa United vs Bayelsa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nasarawa United and Bayelsa United shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Nasarawa United at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nasarawa United had 64% of the ball to Bayelsa United's 36%, shots finished 15-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nasarawa United had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nasarawa United and 1.00 for Bayelsa United.

What was the final score of Nasarawa United vs Bayelsa United?

Nasarawa United 1-1 Bayelsa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nasarawa United vs Bayelsa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nasarawa United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nasarawa United 50%, draw 36%, Bayelsa United 15%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nasarawa United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nasarawa United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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