Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 Changchun YaTai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.84
2-3 Goals
35%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.19
6+ Goals
13%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.14
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
13%
5.11
X/2
16%
6.29
X/X
10%
4.98
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
14%
4.19
2/X
7%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 36%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.62/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/2.03
+50% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -36%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
17.9 Crosses 13.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Changchun YaTai
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.84 xG 0.67
42% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
289 Passes 406
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
26.08.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
25.07.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 HT 1-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNK
23.05.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-0 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
0-1
AWAY Changchun YaTai
0.84 xG 1.31
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
322 Passes 405
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Changchun YaTai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changchun YaTai nicked a narrow win over Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 36% — and on the day Changchun YaTai made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 46% of the ball to Changchun YaTai's 54%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 0.84 to 1.31.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Qingdao Jonoon had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 0.33 for Changchun YaTai.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Changchun YaTai?

Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 Changchun YaTai in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Changchun YaTai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qingdao Jonoon win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 40%, draw 23%, Changchun YaTai 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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