Barcelona 1-0 Mallorca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.47
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.44
6+ Goals
11%
13.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.44 — our 26% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.83
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.05
X/1
12%
3.53
X/2
5%
12.9
X/X
13%
5.72
2/1
10%
23.6
2/2
10%
10.7
2/X
7%
19.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-8.2pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.8pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Mallorca EU Bookmakers 18%
+6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
2.27/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.61
+39% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
420 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
34.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
16.6 Crosses 15.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Mallorca
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.85 xG 0.81
70% Ball Possession 30%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
598 Passes 210
89% Pass Accuracy 74%
36 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.09.2023 Mallorca Mallorca 2-2 HT 2-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
28.05.2023 Barcelona Barcelona 3-0 HT 2-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
01.10.2022 Mallorca Mallorca 0-1 HT 0-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
01.05.2022 Barcelona Barcelona 2-1 HT 1-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
02.01.2022 Mallorca Mallorca 0-1 HT 0-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
13.06.2020 Mallorca Mallorca 0-4 HT 0-2 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona
1-0
AWAY Mallorca
2.02 xG 0.58
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
535 Passes 264
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barcelona vs Mallorca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona edged past Mallorca 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Barcelona as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Barcelona had 63% of the ball to Mallorca's 37%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.02 to 0.58 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Barcelona's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Barcelona and 0.50 for Mallorca.

What was the final score of Barcelona vs Mallorca?

Barcelona 1-0 Mallorca in the Spain - Primera Liga on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona vs Mallorca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Barcelona 55%, draw 24%, Mallorca 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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