FC Schaffhausen 1-1 Aarau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 8 Mar 2024

FC Schaffhausen
1-1 HT 1-1
Aarau
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Switzerland Challenge League – 2023/2024

FC Schaffhausen vs Aarau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.26
6+ Goals
9%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 29% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Schaffhausen v Aarau — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Schaffhausen EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarau EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +10%
0.93/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.79
-9% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
269 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.4
16.6 Crosses 16.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

FC Schaffhausen vs Aarau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Schaffhausen
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Aarau
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.46 xG 1.95
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
210 Passes 358
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 35
12 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.10.2023 Aarau Aarau 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
25.08.2023 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 2-2 HT 1-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
19.05.2023 Aarau Aarau 2-0 HT 2-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
17.02.2023 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 2-2 HT 1-2 Aarau Aarau İSV2
19.11.2022 Aarau Aarau 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
09.09.2022 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 0-2 HT 0-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2

FC Schaffhausen 1-1 Aarau — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Schaffhausen
1-1
AWAY Aarau
1.80 xG 1.32
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
242 Passes 452
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Schaffhausen vs Aarau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Schaffhausen and Aarau couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Schaffhausen had 38% of the ball to Aarau's 62%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.80 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarau led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Schaffhausen and 1.67 for Aarau.

What was the final score of FC Schaffhausen vs Aarau?

FC Schaffhausen 1-1 Aarau in the Switzerland Challenge League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Schaffhausen vs Aarau?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Schaffhausen 34%, draw 28%, Aarau 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aarau) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aarau) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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