KR Reykjavik 1-1 Stjarnan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 8 Mar 2024

KR Reykjavik
1-1 HT 1-0
Stjarnan
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Iceland - League Cup – 2024

KR Reykjavik vs Stjarnan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.61
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.39
No
45%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.0pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

KR Reykjavik v Stjarnan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-42% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
248 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

KR Reykjavik vs Stjarnan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KR Reykjavik
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Stjarnan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.26 xG 1.57
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
345 Passes 285
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.09.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-0 HT 2-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
21.08.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 3-1 HT 2-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
06.06.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-1 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZK
28.05.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-0 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
29.10.2022 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 0-2 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
11.09.2022 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 3-1 HT 2-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL

KR Reykjavik 1-1 Stjarnan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KR Reykjavik
1-1
AWAY Stjarnan
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH KR Reykjavik vs Stjarnan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KR Reykjavik and Stjarnan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was KR Reykjavik at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, KR Reykjavik had 42% of the ball to Stjarnan's 58%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for KR Reykjavik and 1.50 for Stjarnan.

What was the final score of KR Reykjavik vs Stjarnan?

KR Reykjavik 1-1 Stjarnan in the Iceland - League Cup on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KR Reykjavik vs Stjarnan?

Before kick-off our model rated a KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split KR Reykjavik 45%, draw 22%, Stjarnan 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KR Reykjavik), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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