Stuttgart 2-0 Union Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 8 Mar 2024

Stuttgart
2-0 HT 1-0
Union Berlin
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Stuttgart vs Union Berlin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.53
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.0
Over 2.5
59%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.23
6+ Goals
12%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.88
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.0
X/1
16%
3.66
X/2
7%
12.0
X/X
9%
5.87
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.3
2/2
7%
9.48
2/X
5%
17.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
61%
-0.3pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.8pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
46%
-5.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
54%
+5.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.2pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stuttgart v Union Berlin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Berlin EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +24%
2.28/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.65
+16% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +20%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
440 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
21.8 Crosses 16.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Stuttgart vs Union Berlin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stuttgart
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Union Berlin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.19 xG 1.00
58% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
462 Passes 299
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.10.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 1-0 HT 1-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AFK
21.10.2023 Union Berlin Union Berlin 0-3 HT 0-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
01.04.2023 Union Berlin Union Berlin 3-0 HT 0-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
09.10.2022 Stuttgart Stuttgart 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
12.03.2022 Union Berlin Union Berlin 1-1 HT 1-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
24.10.2021 Stuttgart Stuttgart 1-1 HT 0-1 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1

Stuttgart 2-0 Union Berlin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stuttgart
2-0
AWAY Union Berlin
0.99 xG 0.91
70% Ball Possession 30%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
758 Passes 280
90% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stuttgart vs Union Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stuttgart beat Union Berlin 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stuttgart as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stuttgart had 70% of the ball to Union Berlin's 30%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.99 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stuttgart and 1.00 for Union Berlin.

What was the final score of Stuttgart vs Union Berlin?

Stuttgart 2-0 Union Berlin in the Germany - Bundesliga on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stuttgart vs Union Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart 61%, draw 20%, Union Berlin 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stuttgart) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stuttgart) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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