Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-0 Hamburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 8 Mar 2024

Fortuna Düsseldorf
2-0 HT 1-0
Hamburg
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hamburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.23
Over Pick
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1
27%
4.78
2-3
37%
1.92
4-5
24%
2.82
6+
12%
7.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.4
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
4%
12.2
X/1
14%
5.79
X/2
16%
6.01
X/X
18%
5.36
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
15%
3.59
2/X
5%
12.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.7pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fortuna Düsseldorf v Hamburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.61/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.59
+13% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
21.9 Crosses 17.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hamburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Hamburg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.65 xG 1.49
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
232 Passes 444
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.09.2023 Hamburg Hamburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
31.03.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-2 HT 2-1 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
17.09.2022 Hamburg Hamburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
19.03.2022 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-1 HT 0-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
16.10.2021 Hamburg Hamburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
26.01.2021 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL2

Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-0 Hamburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
2-0
AWAY Hamburg
1.74 xG 0.48
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
287 Passes 540
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hamburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf got the better of Hamburg 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Fortuna Düsseldorf found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Fortuna Düsseldorf had 37% of the ball to Hamburg's 63%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.74 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamburg led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf and 1.17 for Hamburg.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hamburg?

Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-0 Hamburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hamburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf 36%, draw 27%, Hamburg 37%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hamburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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