Essen-Schönebeck (K) 4-1 Duisburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 8 Mar 2024

Essen-Schönebeck (K)
4-1 HT 1-0
Duisburg (K)
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Duisburg (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.25
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.15
Over 2.5
65%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.33
No
47%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
12%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
3%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
76%
-12.5pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.9pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+8.6pp
35%
Under 2.5
43%
-7.8pp
65%
Over 2.5
57%
+7.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
39%
+14.0pp
47%
BTTS No
61%
-14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Essen-Schönebeck (K) v Duisburg (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Essen-Schönebeck (K) EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Duisburg (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
3.96/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/2.55
+78% / -91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -47%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
468 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 71%
42.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 4.0
34.0 Crosses 6.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Essen-Schönebeck (K) 4-1 Duisburg (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Essen-Schönebeck (K)
4-1
AWAY Duisburg (K)
2.26 xG 0.89
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
345 Passes 188
75% Pass Accuracy 63%
20 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Duisburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Essen-Schönebeck (K) ran out comfortable winners over Duisburg (K) 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Essen-Schönebeck (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Essen-Schönebeck (K) had 61% of the ball to Duisburg (K)'s 39%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 2.26 to 0.89.

What was the final score of Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Duisburg (K)?

Essen-Schönebeck (K) 4-1 Duisburg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Duisburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Essen-Schönebeck (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Essen-Schönebeck (K) 63%, draw 20%, Duisburg (K) 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Essen-Schönebeck (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Essen-Schönebeck (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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