Defensores De Cambaceres 1-1 CA Lugano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Primera C Apertura, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
Over
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Total Goals
0-1
42%
2-3
38%
4-5
15%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensores De Cambaceres The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Lugano The Market 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Defensores De Cambaceres vs CA Lugano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensores De Cambaceres and CA Lugano shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Defensores De Cambaceres at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

What was the final score of Defensores De Cambaceres vs CA Lugano?

Defensores De Cambaceres 1-1 CA Lugano in the Argentina - Primera C Apertura on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensores De Cambaceres vs CA Lugano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensores De Cambaceres win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Defensores De Cambaceres 48%, draw 25%, CA Lugano 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Defensores De Cambaceres), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Defensores De Cambaceres) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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