Newells Old Boys 1-0 Atletico Tigre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 8 Mar 2024

Newells Old Boys
1-0 HT 1-0
Atletico Tigre
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Newells Old Boys vs Atletico Tigre Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.27
6+ Goals
9%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.28
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
17.55
X/1
14%
3.54
X/2
6%
9.69
X/X
12%
4.0
2/1
9%
31.0
2/2
10%
9.05
2/X
6%
18.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-0.4pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newells Old Boys v Atletico Tigre — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newells Old Boys EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tigre EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
1.46/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.16
+8% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
20.6 Crosses 13.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Newells Old Boys vs Atletico Tigre Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newells Old Boys
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Atletico Tigre
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.30 xG 0.92
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
331 Passes 216
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.10.2023 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 0-2 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
08.05.2023 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 2-2 HT 2-1 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
14.10.2022 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 0-2 HT 0-2 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
21.10.2018 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
31.03.2018 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 2-1 HT 2-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
11.09.2016 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ

Newells Old Boys 1-0 Atletico Tigre — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newells Old Boys
1-0
AWAY Atletico Tigre
1.60 xG 0.11
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
314 Passes 332
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 9
26 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Newells Old Boys vs Atletico Tigre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newells Old Boys squeezed past Atletico Tigre 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Newells Old Boys as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Newells Old Boys had 50% of the ball to Atletico Tigre's 50%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 1.60 to 0.11 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Newells Old Boys's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newells Old Boys had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Newells Old Boys and 0.83 for Atletico Tigre.

What was the final score of Newells Old Boys vs Atletico Tigre?

Newells Old Boys 1-0 Atletico Tigre in the Argentina - Premier League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newells Old Boys vs Atletico Tigre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newells Old Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Newells Old Boys 51%, draw 27%, Atletico Tigre 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newells Old Boys), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newells Old Boys) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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