Perth Glory (K) 1-3 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 8 Mar 2024

Perth Glory (K)
1-3 HT 1-1
Wellington Phoenix (K)
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2023/2024

Perth Glory (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Perth Glory (K) v Wellington Phoenix (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory (K) EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Wellington Phoenix (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
0.82/2.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/1.27
-58% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -55%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
15.7 Crosses 12.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0

Perth Glory (K) 1-3 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perth Glory (K)
1-3
AWAY Wellington Phoenix (K)
0.40 xG 3.99
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
277 Passes 286
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Perth Glory (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wellington Phoenix (K) beat Perth Glory (K) 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Wellington Phoenix (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Perth Glory (K) had 50% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix (K)'s 50%, shots finished 6-19, expected goals 0.40 to 3.99.

What was the final score of Perth Glory (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?

Perth Glory (K) 1-3 Wellington Phoenix (K) in the Australia - W-League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perth Glory (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory (K) 37%, draw 26%, Wellington Phoenix (K) 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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