Sebail FK 0-1 Sumqayıt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 8 Mar 2024

Sebail FK
0-1 HT 0-1
Sumqayıt
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2023/2024

Sebail FK vs Sumqayıt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sebail FK v Sumqayıt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sebail FK EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 32%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.68/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.76
-47% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +65%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Sebail FK vs Sumqayıt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sebail FK
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Sumqayıt
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.12.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-0 HT 0-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
05.08.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 1-4 HT 0-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
07.05.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-3 HT 1-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
04.03.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
14.12.2022 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 2-0 HT 1-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
08.10.2022 Sebail FK Sebail FK 1-0 HT 1-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
POST-MATCH Sebail FK vs Sumqayıt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sumqayıt nicked a narrow win over Sebail FK 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Sumqayıt made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sumqayıt led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sebail FK and 1.50 for Sumqayıt.

What was the final score of Sebail FK vs Sumqayıt?

Sebail FK 0-1 Sumqayıt in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sebail FK vs Sumqayıt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sebail FK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sebail FK 40%, draw 28%, Sumqayıt 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sebail FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sebail FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →