Nashville SC 2-2 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
30%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.73
No
59%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.25
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.62
6+ Goals
11%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 33% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
30%
+8.3pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.9pp
30%
Away Win
42%
-12.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
54%
-12.4pp
59%
BTTS No
46%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
279 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nashville SC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Inter Miami
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.48 xG 0.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 Passes 491
84% Pass Accuracy 89%
18 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 0-0 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
20.08.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 1-1 HT 0-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami CONLK
24.05.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-1 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABDK
18.05.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-1 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
23.09.2021 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-5 HT 0-2 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
09.08.2021 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-1 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nashville SC
2-2
AWAY Inter Miami
0.89 xG 1.07
30% Ball Possession 70%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
219 Passes 629
74% Pass Accuracy 89%
10 Box Touches 28
6 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nashville SC vs Inter Miami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nashville SC and Inter Miami couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nashville SC had 30% of the ball to Inter Miami's 70%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.89 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nashville SC and 1.17 for Inter Miami.

What was the final score of Nashville SC vs Inter Miami?

Nashville SC 2-2 Inter Miami in the CONCACAF Champions League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 39%, draw 31%, Inter Miami 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nashville SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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