HB Koge 0-4 Hillerod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 8 Mar 2024

HB Koge
0-4 HT 0-2
Hillerod
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2023/2024

HB Koge vs Hillerod Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.35
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.96
6+ Goals
9%
8.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.1
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
21.35
1/X
7%
14.35
X/1
10%
8.7
X/2
15%
4.28
X/X
13%
5.65
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.28
2/X
7%
13.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.35 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.2pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.3pp
45%
Away Win
53%
-8.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

HB Koge v Hillerod — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HB Koge EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Hillerod EU Bookmakers 57%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
1.42/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.87
-4% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
273 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 75%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
14.9 Crosses 16.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0

HB Koge vs Hillerod Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HB Koge
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Hillerod
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
1.62 xG 0.72
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
424 Passes 313
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.07.2023 Hillerod Hillerod 0-4 HT 0-1 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
19.05.2023 Hillerod Hillerod 1-0 HT 1-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
23.04.2023 HB Koge HB Koge 2-0 HT 0-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
18.03.2023 HB Koge HB Koge 0-1 HT 0-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
11.08.2022 Hillerod Hillerod 0-2 HT 0-1 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1

HB Koge 0-4 Hillerod — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HB Koge
0-4
AWAY Hillerod
0.74 xG 1.11
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 4
450 Passes 514
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
7 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HB Koge vs Hillerod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hillerod cruised past HB Koge 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hillerod as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HB Koge had 47% of the ball to Hillerod's 53%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 0.74 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, HB Koge had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for HB Koge and 0.40 for Hillerod.

What was the final score of HB Koge vs Hillerod?

HB Koge 0-4 Hillerod in the Denmark 1st Division on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HB Koge vs Hillerod?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hillerod win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split HB Koge 29%, draw 27%, Hillerod 45%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hillerod), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hillerod) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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