08/03/2024
·
19:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Samger vs Falcons FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
Over
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1
39%
2-3
39%
4-5
17%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
43%
Home Win
47%
30%
Draw
26%
27%
Away Win
27%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Samger v Falcons FC — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Samger
The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY
Falcons FC
The Market 31%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
325 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
292 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Samger vs Falcons FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Falcons FC got the better of Samger 2-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Samger at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Samger vs Falcons FC?
Samger 0-2 Falcons FC in the Gambiya - GFA League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Samger vs Falcons FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Samger win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Samger 43%, draw 30%, Falcons FC 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Samger) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Samger)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →