Fredrikstad 2-0 Sandefjord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
20%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.43
Over 2.5
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+1.3pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.1pp
20%
Away Win
26%
-5.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.5pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 29%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.88
+136% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -45%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fredrikstad
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sandefjord
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
27.09.2016 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-1 HT 0-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
30.04.2016 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-2 HT 0-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR1
02.11.2014 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-1 HT 0-1 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR1
14.04.2014 Sandefjord Sandefjord 0-1 HT 0-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
14.09.2013 Sandefjord Sandefjord 0-0 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
22.04.2013 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-2 HT 1-1 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR1
POST-MATCH Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad saw off Sandefjord 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fredrikstad as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sandefjord led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fredrikstad and 1.17 for Sandefjord.

What was the final score of Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord?

Fredrikstad 2-0 Sandefjord in the Friendlies on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fredrikstad win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad 53%, draw 27%, Sandefjord 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fredrikstad) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fredrikstad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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