Go Ahead Eagles 0-1 PSV Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 8 Mar 2024

Go Ahead Eagles
0-1 HT 0-1
PSV Eindhoven
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

Go Ahead Eagles vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.34
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
57%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.67
2-3 Goals
34%
2.02
4-5 Goals
30%
2.62
6+ Goals
14%
6.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
9.48
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
19.3
1/X
6%
17.4
X/1
9%
14.0
X/2
20%
3.88
X/X
8%
7.65
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
25%
1.69
2/X
7%
17.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.3 — our 11% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
15%
+6.8pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.2pp
57%
Away Win
66%
-9.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.2pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Go Ahead Eagles v PSV Eindhoven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 70%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.32/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/0.92
+3% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +8%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
251 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 82%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.5
18.7 Crosses 18.5
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.5

Go Ahead Eagles vs PSV Eindhoven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
0W-0D-6L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.55 xG 2.47
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 9
274 Passes 486
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 39
10 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.09.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-0 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
28.01.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-0 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
13.08.2022 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-5 HT 1-3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
02.03.2022 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-2 HT 1-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOK
23.12.2021 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-0 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
22.09.2021 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-2 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL

Go Ahead Eagles 0-1 PSV Eindhoven — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
0-1
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
0.88 xG 2.18
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 9
283 Passes 472
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 46
16 Crosses 37
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Go Ahead Eagles vs PSV Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven edged past Go Ahead Eagles 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Go Ahead Eagles had 40% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven's 60%, shots finished 12-21, expected goals 0.88 to 2.18 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold PSV Eindhoven's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Go Ahead Eagles and 2.67 for PSV Eindhoven.

What was the final score of Go Ahead Eagles vs PSV Eindhoven?

Go Ahead Eagles 0-1 PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Go Ahead Eagles vs PSV Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Go Ahead Eagles 22%, draw 21%, PSV Eindhoven 57%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →