Auda 1-2 Rigas Skola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.91
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
57%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.86
Over 2.5
56%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
14%
+2.8pp
27%
Draw
20%
+6.3pp
57%
Away Win
66%
-9.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
50%
-6.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
50%
+6.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auda EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 71%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
0.55/2.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.43/0.70
+10% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +8%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 83%
13.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 43.9
8.6 Crosses 28.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auda
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.49 xG 2.47
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
413 Passes 367
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 41
13 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.10.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 3-0 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET
23.07.2023 Auda Auda 2-5 HT 0-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
21.05.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 2-0 HT 2-0 Auda Auda LET
10.04.2023 Auda Auda 0-0 HT 0-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
19.10.2022 Auda Auda 1-0 HT 1-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LETK
09.10.2022 Auda Auda 1-1 HT 1-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auda
1-2
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.77 xG 1.30
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
250 Passes 376
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 23
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Auda vs Rigas Skola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola squeezed past Auda 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Auda had 42% of the ball to Rigas Skola's 58%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.77 to 1.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Auda and 1.83 for Rigas Skola.

What was the final score of Auda vs Rigas Skola?

Auda 1-2 Rigas Skola in the Latvia - Virsliga on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auda vs Rigas Skola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Auda 16%, draw 27%, Rigas Skola 57%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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