CD Tapatio 1-2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+8.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca EU Bookmakers 22%
-25% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.24/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.55
-27% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
428 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Tapatio
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
01.08.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-1 HT 0-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
03.03.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-1 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
04.08.2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 4-0 HT 1-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
23.03.2022 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-1 HT 0-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
30.09.2021 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0-1 HT 0-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
POST-MATCH CD Tapatio vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alebrijes de Oaxaca nicked a narrow win over CD Tapatio 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was CD Tapatio at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Alebrijes de Oaxaca led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for CD Tapatio and 1.40 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca.

What was the final score of CD Tapatio vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

CD Tapatio 1-2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Mexico - Primera A on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Tapatio vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Tapatio win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split CD Tapatio 49%, draw 24%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CD Tapatio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Tapatio) ✓ BTTS Yes
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