Naxxar Lions 1-1 Balzan FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.9pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Balzan FC EU Bookmakers 49%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.23/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.30
+46% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -38%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naxxar Lions
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Balzan FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Balzan FC Balzan FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naxxar Lions
1-1
AWAY Balzan FC
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Naxxar Lions vs Balzan FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naxxar Lions and Balzan FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Balzan FC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Naxxar Lions had 48% of the ball to Balzan FC's 52%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Naxxar Lions vs Balzan FC?

Naxxar Lions 1-1 Balzan FC in the Malta - Premier League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naxxar Lions vs Balzan FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Balzan FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Naxxar Lions 32%, draw 25%, Balzan FC 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Balzan FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Balzan FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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