Zamalek 0-2 Al Ahly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Cup, 8 Mar 2024

Zamalek
0-2 HT 0-0
Al Ahly
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Egypt - Cup – 2022/2023

Zamalek vs Al Ahly Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.82
Over 2.5
55%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.18
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.69
6+ Goals
12%
15.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.69 — our 27% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
23%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
48%
Away Win
46%
+2.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
51%
-6.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
49%
+6.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zamalek v Al Ahly — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamalek EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 49%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+57% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
303 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 82%
31.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
35.6 Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Zamalek vs Al Ahly Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamalek
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Ahly
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.95 xG 1.55
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
301 Passes 370
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.07.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 4-1 HT 3-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
21.01.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 0-3 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
28.10.2022 Zamalek Zamalek 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSRSK
21.07.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-2 HT 0-2 Zamalek Zamalek MSRK
19.06.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-2 HT 1-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
05.11.2021 Zamalek Zamalek 3-5 HT 0-3 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR

Zamalek 0-2 Al Ahly — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamalek
0-2
AWAY Al Ahly
0.70 xG 0.52
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
319 Passes 276
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zamalek vs Al Ahly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly beat Zamalek 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zamalek had 53% of the ball to Al Ahly's 47%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.70 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zamalek and 2.83 for Al Ahly.

What was the final score of Zamalek vs Al Ahly?

Zamalek 0-2 Al Ahly in the Egypt - Cup on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamalek vs Al Ahly?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Zamalek 27%, draw 25%, Al Ahly 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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