UTC Cajamarca 2-3 Comerciantes Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.2pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 32%
+13% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+6% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.0 Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTC Cajamarca
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
205 Passes 266
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.06.2021 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 0-1 HT 0-1 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PERKB
22.04.2018 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 1-2 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
04.03.2018 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-3 HT 1-1 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
18.09.2017 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-0 HT 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
15.06.2017 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 1-0 HT 1-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
04.02.2017 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-0 HT 2-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTC Cajamarca
2-3
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
1.35 xG 1.73
53% Ball Possession 47%
21 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
193 Passes 176
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 11
29 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH UTC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Comerciantes Unidos nicked a narrow win over UTC Cajamarca 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was UTC Cajamarca at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, UTC Cajamarca had 53% of the ball to Comerciantes Unidos's 47%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 1.35 to 1.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UTC Cajamarca had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for UTC Cajamarca and 0.83 for Comerciantes Unidos.

What was the final score of UTC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos?

UTC Cajamarca 2-3 Comerciantes Unidos in the Peru - Premier League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTC Cajamarca win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split UTC Cajamarca 43%, draw 26%, Comerciantes Unidos 31%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UTC Cajamarca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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