Kalisz 2-2 LKS Lodz II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.07
Over 2.5
63%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.95
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
29%
3.14
6+ Goals
13%
10.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.14 — our 29% vs market 26.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-7.5pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.8pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+10.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
44%
-7.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
56%
+7.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalisz EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY LKS Lodz II EU Bookmakers 25%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.70/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.87
+0% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalisz
0W-0D-1L
AWAY LKS Lodz II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
27.08.2023 LKS Lodz II LKS Lodz II 3-0 HT 2-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalisz
2-2
AWAY LKS Lodz II
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kalisz vs LKS Lodz II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalisz and LKS Lodz II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kalisz at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kalisz had 51% of the ball to LKS Lodz II's 49%, shots finished 17-16.

What was the final score of Kalisz vs LKS Lodz II?

Kalisz 2-2 LKS Lodz II in the Poland - 2nd Division on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalisz vs LKS Lodz II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalisz win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kalisz 48%, draw 20%, LKS Lodz II 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kalisz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kalisz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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