Neftekhimik 2-0 KAMAZ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-6.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+8.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.7pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY KAMAZ EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -18%
1.13/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.13
-16% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neftekhimik
4W-1D-1L
AWAY KAMAZ
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
16.09.2023 KAMAZ KAMAZ 0-1 HT 0-1 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
16.07.2022 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 0-1 HT 0-1 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
02.04.2022 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 1-1 HT 0-1 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
19.09.2021 KAMAZ KAMAZ 0-1 HT 0-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
27.06.2019 KAMAZ KAMAZ 1-3 HT 1-2 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik HAZ
30.07.2018 KAMAZ KAMAZ 2-3 HT 0-1 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neftekhimik
2-0
AWAY KAMAZ
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Neftekhimik vs KAMAZ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neftekhimik got the better of KAMAZ 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Neftekhimik made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Neftekhimik had 43% of the ball to KAMAZ's 57%, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neftekhimik had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Neftekhimik and 0.83 for KAMAZ.

What was the final score of Neftekhimik vs KAMAZ?

Neftekhimik 2-0 KAMAZ in the Russia - FNL on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neftekhimik vs KAMAZ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neftekhimik win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Neftekhimik 37%, draw 28%, KAMAZ 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neftekhimik), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Neftekhimik) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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