Al Riyadh 1-3 Al Hilal Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
9.57
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
63%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.63
Over 2.5
53%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.12
2-3 Goals
42%
2.08
4-5 Goals
24%
2.56
6+ Goals
11%
5.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
37%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
7%
+7.8pp
22%
Draw
14%
+8.4pp
63%
Away Win
79%
-16.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
34%
+12.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
66%
-12.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 84%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
0.94/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/0.73
+17% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +63%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 457 · 84%
11.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.6
12.9 Crosses 22.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riyadh
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
0.39 xG 6.65
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 31
2 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 3
223 Passes 535
77% Pass Accuracy 89%
24 Box Touches 61
12 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 1
15.09.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 6-1 HT 2-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riyadh
1-3
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
0.66 xG 4.01
24% Ball Possession 76%
4 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 9
113 Passes 517
63% Pass Accuracy 88%
4 Box Touches 55
12 Crosses 33
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh saw off Al Riyadh 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Al Riyadh had 24% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 76%, shots finished 4-22, expected goals 0.66 to 4.01.

What was the final score of Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Al Riyadh 1-3 Al Hilal Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Al Riyadh 15%, draw 22%, Al Hilal Riyadh 63%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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