Shakhtar Donetsk 3-2 Kolos Kovalivka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.51
No
62%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
69%
-5.3pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.2pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
36%
+2.3pp
62%
BTTS No
64%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolos Kovalivka EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
2.25/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.38
+14% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -18%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Kolos Kovalivka
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
27.08.2023 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 0-2 HT 0-2 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
28.04.2023 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 1-3 HT 1-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
19.10.2022 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 HT 1-0 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
07.11.2021 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 1-3 HT 1-2 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
21.08.2020 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1 HT 0-0 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
15.07.2020 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-0 HT 0-0 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
3-2
AWAY Kolos Kovalivka
17 Total Shots 5
11 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk nicked a narrow win over Kolos Kovalivka 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 17-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Shakhtar Donetsk and 0.50 for Kolos Kovalivka.

What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka?

Shakhtar Donetsk 3-2 Kolos Kovalivka in the Ukraine - Premier League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 63%, draw 20%, Kolos Kovalivka 16%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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