Aberdeen 4-1 Queens Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.63
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 30% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-7.9pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.1pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.7pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park EU Bookmakers 17%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.03/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/0.74
-55% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberdeen
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Queens Park
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
17.08.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-0 HT 0-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aberdeen
4-1
AWAY Queens Park
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Aberdeen vs Queens Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberdeen ran out comfortable winners over Queens Park 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aberdeen as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Aberdeen had 58% of the ball to Queens Park's 42%, shots finished 16-5.

What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Queens Park?

Aberdeen 4-1 Queens Park in the Scotland - Cup on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs Queens Park?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 58%, draw 23%, Queens Park 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aberdeen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aberdeen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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