Baden 2-1 Brühl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.53
No
54%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
61%
-15.2pp
54%
BTTS No
39%
+15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baden EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Brühl EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
1.39/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.61
-13% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baden
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Brühl
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
31.08.2024 Brühl Brühl 3-0 HT 2-0 Baden Baden İSV1Y
25.03.2023 Brühl Brühl 3-0 HT 0-0 Baden Baden İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Baden vs Brühl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baden nicked a narrow win over Brühl 2-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Baden found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Brühl led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Baden and 3.00 for Brühl.

What was the final score of Baden vs Brühl?

Baden 2-1 Brühl in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baden vs Brühl?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baden win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Baden 38%, draw 26%, Brühl 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baden) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Baden) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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