Napoli (K) 0-4 Lazio (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
58%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+4.5pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.8pp
58%
Away Win
66%
-8.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
0.69/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.86
+9% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +117% /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 79%
9.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
10.0 Crosses 13.0
1.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Lazio (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.86 xG 1.35
35% Ball Possession 65%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
219 Passes 386
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 13
18.01.2025 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 0-4 HT 0-3 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) İTKSA
13.10.2024 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) 0-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli (K)
0-4
AWAY Lazio (K)
0.39 xG 1.57
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
310 Passes 286
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Napoli (K) vs Lazio (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lazio (K) ran out comfortable winners over Napoli (K) 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lazio (K) as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Napoli (K) had 51% of the ball to Lazio (K)'s 49%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.39 to 1.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lazio (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Napoli (K) and 2.00 for Lazio (K).

What was the final score of Napoli (K) vs Lazio (K)?

Napoli (K) 0-4 Lazio (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli (K) vs Lazio (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lazio (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Napoli (K) 18%, draw 24%, Lazio (K) 58%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio (K)), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lazio (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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