UMF Selfoss 1-1 İB Vestmannaeyjar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 8 Mar 2025

UMF Selfoss
1-1
İB Vestmannaeyjar
📅08/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Iceland - League Cup – 2026

UMF Selfoss vs İB Vestmannaeyjar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.48
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
20%
+9.7pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.1pp
50%
Away Win
59%
-8.6pp
63%
BTTS Yes
64%
-1.0pp
37%
BTTS No
36%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

UMF Selfoss v İB Vestmannaeyjar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UMF Selfoss EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY İB Vestmannaeyjar EU Bookmakers 62%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
0.14/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.30/1.65
-91% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -23%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0

UMF Selfoss vs İB Vestmannaeyjar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UMF Selfoss
1W-0D-5L
AWAY İB Vestmannaeyjar
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.03.2023 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 0-2 HT 0-1 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZLK
03.09.2021 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 1-4 HT 1-1 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL1
01.07.2021 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 3-2 HT 2-1 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL1
23.07.2012 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 1-0 HT 1-0 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL
06.05.2012 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 2-1 HT 2-0 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL
16.09.2010 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 0-2 HT 0-1 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL
POST-MATCH UMF Selfoss vs İB Vestmannaeyjar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UMF Selfoss and İB Vestmannaeyjar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was İB Vestmannaeyjar at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (68%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, İB Vestmannaeyjar led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for UMF Selfoss and 2.17 for İB Vestmannaeyjar.

What was the final score of UMF Selfoss vs İB Vestmannaeyjar?

UMF Selfoss 1-1 İB Vestmannaeyjar in the Iceland - League Cup on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UMF Selfoss vs İB Vestmannaeyjar?

Before kick-off our model rated an İB Vestmannaeyjar win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split UMF Selfoss 29%, draw 21%, İB Vestmannaeyjar 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İB Vestmannaeyjar), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İB Vestmannaeyjar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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