Turbine Potsdam (K) 0-1 Freiburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 8 Mar 2025

Turbine Potsdam (K)
0-1 HT 0-0
Freiburg (K)
📅08/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Turbine Potsdam (K) vs Freiburg (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
12.23
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
63%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
32%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
5%
+14.0pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.9pp
63%
Away Win
79%
-16.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.0pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Turbine Potsdam (K) v Freiburg (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Turbine Potsdam (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 84%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
0.32/2.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.13
-67% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / –
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
262 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 81%
6.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41.0
7.8 Crosses 38.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Turbine Potsdam (K) vs Freiburg (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Turbine Potsdam (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Freiburg (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.42 xG 1.03
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 7
201 Passes 463
67% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 22
9 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.10.2024 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Turbine Potsdam (K) Turbine Potsdam (K) ALKB

Turbine Potsdam (K) 0-1 Freiburg (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Turbine Potsdam (K)
0-1
AWAY Freiburg (K)
0.08 xG 2.21
33% Ball Possession 67%
2 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 11
110 Passes 329
50% Pass Accuracy 76%
7 Box Touches 27
9 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Turbine Potsdam (K) vs Freiburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg (K) edged past Turbine Potsdam (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Freiburg (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Turbine Potsdam (K) had 33% of the ball to Freiburg (K)'s 67%, shots finished 2-12, expected goals 0.08 to 2.21 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Freiburg (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Turbine Potsdam (K) vs Freiburg (K)?

Turbine Potsdam (K) 0-1 Freiburg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Turbine Potsdam (K) vs Freiburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Freiburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Turbine Potsdam (K) 19%, draw 18%, Freiburg (K) 63%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Freiburg (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Freiburg (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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