UTS Rabat 2-1 Chabab Mohammedia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.29
Draw
30%
4.81
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.49
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
26%
3.11
6+ Goals
8%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
UTS Rabat win — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
73%
-19.1pp
30%
Draw
18%
+12.0pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+7.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.5pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTS Rabat EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Chabab Mohammedia EU Bookmakers 12%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
3.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.76
+64% / -80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -10%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
429 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTS Rabat
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Chabab Mohammedia
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 0-3 HT 0-2 UTS Rabat UTS Rabat FAS
27.04.2024 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 0-2 HT 0-1 UTS Rabat UTS Rabat FAS
16.12.2023 UTS Rabat UTS Rabat 1-2 HT 0-1 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
12.03.2023 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 1-1 HT 1-0 UTS Rabat UTS Rabat FAS
07.10.2022 UTS Rabat UTS Rabat 1-0 HT 1-0 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTS Rabat
2-1
AWAY Chabab Mohammedia
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UTS Rabat vs Chabab Mohammedia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTS Rabat edged past Chabab Mohammedia 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had UTS Rabat as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, UTS Rabat had 50% of the ball to Chabab Mohammedia's 50%, shots finished 10-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, UTS Rabat had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for UTS Rabat and 0.60 for Chabab Mohammedia.

What was the final score of UTS Rabat vs Chabab Mohammedia?

UTS Rabat 2-1 Chabab Mohammedia in the Morocco - League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTS Rabat vs Chabab Mohammedia?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTS Rabat win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split UTS Rabat 54%, draw 30%, Chabab Mohammedia 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UTS Rabat) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UTS Rabat) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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