Ballinamallard United 1-1 Newry City AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 8 Mar 2025

Ballinamallard United
1-1
Newry City AFC
📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Ballinamallard United vs Newry City AFC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.62
2-3 Goals
43%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.65
6+ Goals
12%
6.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.3pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-3.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.1pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ballinamallard United v Newry City AFC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
2.08/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.93
+5% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
408 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards –

Ballinamallard United vs Newry City AFC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Newry City AFC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.12.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 2-1 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL1
27.08.2024 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
06.01.2024 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 3-2 HT 2-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRK
22.01.2022 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-2 HT 0-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL1
13.11.2021 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 2-0 HT 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
11.09.2021 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 0-3 HT 0-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Newry City AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballinamallard United and Newry City AFC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ballinamallard United at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newry City AFC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ballinamallard United and 1.50 for Newry City AFC.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Newry City AFC?

Ballinamallard United 1-1 Newry City AFC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Newry City AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballinamallard United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 49%, draw 26%, Newry City AFC 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ballinamallard United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ballinamallard United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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