KAMAZ 3-1 Chayka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 8 Mar 2025

KAMAZ
3-1 HT 1-0
Chayka
📅08/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+3.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.6pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KAMAZ EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chayka EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.69/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.02
+35% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
231 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KAMAZ
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Chayka
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
13.10.2024 Chayka Chayka 0-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KAMAZ
3-1
AWAY Chayka
53% Ball Possession 47%
24 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KAMAZ vs Chayka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KAMAZ saw off Chayka 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had KAMAZ as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KAMAZ had 53% of the ball to Chayka's 47%, shots finished 24-7.

What was the final score of KAMAZ vs Chayka?

KAMAZ 3-1 Chayka in the Russia - FNL on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KAMAZ vs Chayka?

Before kick-off our model rated a KAMAZ win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split KAMAZ 50%, draw 26%, Chayka 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KAMAZ) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KAMAZ) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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