NS Drava 0-1 Ilirija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-1.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
47%
Away Win
46%
+1.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NS Drava EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilirija EU Bookmakers 49%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/0.39
-100% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 6
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NS Drava
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ilirija
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Ilirija Ilirija 0-3 HT 0-2 NS Drava NS Drava SLVN2
04.05.2022 Ilirija Ilirija 4-2 HT 0-1 NS Drava NS Drava SLVN2
POST-MATCH NS Drava vs Ilirija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilirija nicked a narrow win over NS Drava 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ilirija as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for NS Drava and 2.00 for Ilirija.

What was the final score of NS Drava vs Ilirija?

NS Drava 0-1 Ilirija in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NS Drava vs Ilirija?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ilirija win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split NS Drava 27%, draw 26%, Ilirija 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilirija) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ilirija) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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