St. Mirren vs Partick Thistle Prediction — Model Probabilities
St. Mirren v Partick Thistle — Team-Based Signals
St. Mirren vs Partick Thistle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
St. Mirren 2-1 Partick Thistle — Actual Match Statistics
St. Mirren shaded a tight game against Partick Thistle 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had St. Mirren as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both.
Under the surface, Partick Thistle saw more of the ball, 58% to 42%, shots finished 10-16.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for St. Mirren against 1.83 for Partick Thistle.
St. Mirren vs Partick Thistle Result & Final Score
St. Mirren 2 - 1 Partick Thistle in the Scotland - Cup on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
St. Mirren vs Partick Thistle Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 49%, draw 27%, Partick Thistle 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Mirren), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.