Las Palmas 4-0 Ceuta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
16%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.74
Over
51%
1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.05
No
49%
1.69
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2.78
2-3
42%
1.73
4-5
23%
3.89
6+
9%
17.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
2.06
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
10%
15.7
X/1
12%
3.89
X/2
5%
10.45
X/X
7%
4.77
2/1
6%
25.0
2/2
5%
9.15
2/X
7%
17.8
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Las Palmas The Market 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceuta The Market 21%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.47 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.94
0.70 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.98
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Average
Great Defensevs comparable teams Weak
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
400 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 78%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
13.5 Crosses 16.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Palmas
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ceuta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.32 xG 1.04
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
392 Passes 317
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2025 Ceuta Ceuta 1-1 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Palmas
4-0
AWAY Ceuta
3.21 xG 0.10
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
369 Passes 312
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
36 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Las Palmas vs Ceuta
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Las Palmas made light work of Ceuta 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Las Palmas as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 51% and both teams to score at 51%. At 1.69 (~59%), the BTTS-no price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

The match data tells the story: Las Palmas had 53% of the ball to Ceuta's 47%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 3.21 to 0.10.

Las Palmas vs Ceuta Result & Final Score

Las Palmas 4-0 Ceuta in the Spain - 2nd Division on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Las Palmas vs Ceuta Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Las Palmas win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 60%, draw 24%, Ceuta 16%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Las Palmas), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Las Palmas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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