Changwon City 1-0 Dangjin Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
13%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
14%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
54%
+7.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
13%
Away Win
20%
-6.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changwon City EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Dangjin Citizen EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.32/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/2.01
-20% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changwon City
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Dangjin Citizen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
01.10.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 0-0 HT 0-0 Dangjin Citizen GK3L
26.08.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 2-1 HT 2-1 Dangjin Citizen GK3L
29.05.2022 Dangjin Citizen 1-1 HT 0-1 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
01.05.2022 Dangjin Citizen 1-1 HT 1-1 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
POST-MATCH Changwon City vs Dangjin Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changwon City nicked a narrow win over Dangjin Citizen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Changwon City as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Changwon City had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Changwon City and 0.75 for Dangjin Citizen.

What was the final score of Changwon City vs Dangjin Citizen?

Changwon City 1-0 Dangjin Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changwon City vs Dangjin Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Changwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Changwon City 61%, draw 25%, Dangjin Citizen 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Changwon City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Changwon City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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