Rivers United 3-1 Bendel Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
12%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.62
Over 2.5
35%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
57%
+1.4pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
12%
Away Win
18%
-5.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
58%
+6.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
42%
-6.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.7pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rivers United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Bendel Insurance EU Bookmakers 21%
+15% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
1.16/0.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.26
-16% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rivers United
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Bendel Insurance
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
06.11.2025 Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance 0-0 HT 0-0 Rivers United Rivers United NIJ
30.01.2025 Rivers United Rivers United 2-2 HT 1-1 Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance NIJ
08.09.2024 Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance 0-0 HT 0-0 Rivers United Rivers United NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rivers United
3-1
AWAY Bendel Insurance
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rivers United vs Bendel Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rivers United beat Bendel Insurance 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rivers United as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rivers United had 51% of the ball to Bendel Insurance's 49%, shots finished 19-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rivers United and 0.67 for Bendel Insurance.

What was the final score of Rivers United vs Bendel Insurance?

Rivers United 3-1 Bendel Insurance in the Nigeria NPFL on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rivers United vs Bendel Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rivers United win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Rivers United 58%, draw 29%, Bendel Insurance 12%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rivers United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rivers United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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