Naples 2-0 Fort Wayne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.92
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-10.4pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.4pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.6pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naples EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Fort Wayne EU Bookmakers 29%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+39% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
325 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.6 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naples
2-0
AWAY Fort Wayne
0.80 xG 1.28
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
267 Passes 229
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 8
10 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Naples vs Fort Wayne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naples beat Fort Wayne 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 33% / 30%) promised a tight game; Naples found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Naples had 50% of the ball to Fort Wayne's 50%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 0.80 to 1.28 — on chances, Fort Wayne could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Naples vs Fort Wayne?

Naples 2-0 Fort Wayne in the USA - USL League 1 on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naples vs Fort Wayne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naples win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Naples 38%, draw 33%, Fort Wayne 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naples) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naples) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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